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Janabi: expectations towards oil market stability
4/23/2016 0:00
[rtl]Despite the volatile signals about the weakness of the structure of the global economy
BAGHDAD Shokran Fatlawi
gaining analyzes and forecasts the oil market of great importance, especially since oil is a commodity strategy driving machine for the global economy, and hence the movement of oil prices is of great significance from a wide sectors.
Academic d. Haitham Abdel - Qader al - Janabi of the Administrative Technical College - Baghdad said »Sabah», based on International Energy Agency data International Energy Agency (IEA) and the statements of US Energy Information Administration (EIA) and analysis of oil and gas magazine , The Oil and Gas Journal,: data suggests to approach balance in the oil market , despite the volatile signals about the weakness of the structure of the global economy.
He noted that the expectations and statements of the international energy agency show that oil consumption as well as the inventory will increase, in the view of speculation US energy Information Administration, said that only consumption will increase arepresentative of the request, pointing out that the recent global monthly data exposure, while the quarterly data and the international energy agency show only noting that they together provide a complete way of presentation to illustrate the difficulties and uncertainties associated with .
He noted Janabi that the negative outlook for the agency IEA is caused by low expectations for rates of demand, as well as pessimistic situation about the stability of the Chinese economy and lower demand on the oil and the economic outlook is not encouraging in the developing world and the entry of Iranian oil production to the market.
he hinted that, according to the conclusions of the international energy agency, the excess supply must fall at a rate of 350,000 b. J Without the presumption of Iran 's entry into the oil market, while speculation administration of US energy production and consumption information that shows excess supply must fall to 730,000 B.a by the end of 2016 which is beyond the IEA estimates, pointing out that the EIA data more serious being counted Iran 's oil production.
He concluded that expectations based on the significant decline in the production of theUnited States and a possible devaluation of Russia and the OPEC production in 2016, as well as the ongoing events in the Middle East could lead to the failure of the major production countries or group of small countries in maintaining production levels[/rtl]
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