Drawing energy policies and the most important influences
9/18/2016 0:00
[rtl]Mustafa Abdul Hussain
inevitable reference to the role of politics in shaping energy policy since the early stages of the entry of Nations competition on the economic interests gates, and attempts major powers represented by the giant Bcrkadtha take the lead in directing the policy in order to serve stroll industrial machine to countries where scarce non - renewable energy resources Non-renewable energy resources during the last century and this specifically, and after the outcome of the results of the two world wars of the maps sharing economic interests in the field of energy.
in light of this can be explained by research on renewable energy sources renewable energy resources fever by the major powers in the world have suffered from wars that lie behind her with energy is Almottagddh.oma related motives brought on the globe from the tragedies and the displacement of millions of refugees , especially in the region we live in, let alone the ills of pollution and global warming to rise is unprecedented in global temperatures, as it seeks international follow - up of global conferences thermal and processed to maintain the ratio of the temperature does not exceed two degrees scale Centennial Celsius steady on average, and even work to reduce them to a degree and ahalf percentage as stated in the recommendations of the recent Paris conference through a reduction is possible for the proportion of radiation harmful oxides duo of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere caused by the enormous events of fuel Fossil Fossil fuels by the Asian industrial countries such as India and China.
despite persistent attempts to keep the importance of the consumption of fossil fuel oil represented (specifically) as the most common item at the moment as one of thedominant sources of energy sector, by producing countries keen to strengthen budgets income sources accustomed relied upon for decades.
it has become many of its countries need economic revolutions to drive economic diversification of those sources in anticipation of the change , which has been knocking on the doors of the sector that resulted in the relentless pursuit for power generation through renewable sources for a new image different from the current scene is mainly based on fossil fuels .
and without a future preparations for binding to the governments of oil - producing countries to provide the environment and climate suitable to enter this new time (though the current indicators foreshadows a period for quite some time), the unpleasant surprises for the future of the peoples of these countries , especially those that do not have other sources of income may be adversely affected in terms of societal stability , and economic map that would weaken the sources of power that has taken strict measures and early to confront Thus a change in the economic situation.
and still policy act on the current situation of energy, especially oil production, and although I have little inclination to justify a massive increase in production and theresulting glut glut market prices lowered to below fifty dollars a barrel on it ( the plot) or counted among the big players in the market a conflict like the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia in the first degree , followed by countries such as Iraq, Iran and Venezuela , which are relatively less affair in drawing certain policies, so it remains speculation speculation factors , the balance between supply and demand , which disturbed since June 2014, and the political instability of many countries, and internal conflicts that fuel the factors that hamper machining efforts to increase the production of the country is stable and its impact on other countries in the form of positive doing to compensate what the market lost for long periods, and this is the case Iran , which face penalties economic strict hindered their ability to maintain its share in the (OPEC) and the global market, and the imposition of a threat rid the world of the consequences the latter agreement within such a country to develop its production and promotion of investments, and return to the oil market effectively. as
well as the case of Nigeria , which is bedeviled by sectarian conflicts and terrorism perched the release of its citizens, and the difficulty of the work of the oil companies in the country knew in turn is important in supplying the market a good share during theprevious decades.
the case of Libya , the country known for the quality of the oil ore with a low density, itseems that the issue of return of the market requires a long time because of the political situation, and the dominance of militias took root after overthrow of former Libyan leader, and the destruction of infrastructure , energy sector that require the exchange of tens ofbillions of dollars is not that the country can at present be provided.
It is important notes enter the United States on the rising production line ratios dramatic in shale oil production increase Light Tight oil, and the decision to lift the ban for export ,which was released in November 2015 after a decision Old earlier in 1973 to prevent the export counter steps ban taken by Arab countries to stop exporting oil to the West after the positions of the Western countries supporting for that (Israel) during theNovember / October war of the same year.
the lift the ban on oil exports (there is an abundance of American production and non -oil refineries ability there to absorb processed quantities of events rock crushing Hydro Fracking) why it is important to enter the United States on the line of petroleum exporting countries, and its new political role as a player does not deal with the issue as a net importer of crude just as was the case previously, but double the state role is almost to put the burden is not Balkhvevh the traditional producers as members of OPEC, Russia and the Organization in the competition for export that led to the current glut in themarket.
not the case Bohassanh with ails Venezuela now of political turmoil between the left accustomed leadership the country since the era of the late Chavez and economic system in which the state is dominated by the course of events, and the right of seeking the support of the United States to change the grounds of rampant corruption, and improper management of the energy sector that hit the state - owned company Petroleos Venezuela paralysis unprecedented hampered the development, production plans, and a similar case of Brazil due to corruption scandals latter of which led to thedismissal of Brazilian President, and the suffering of the national company Petrobras with a history of productive activities, and the activities of drilling , both in the scope of thedeep sea deep drilling Horizon of the country, or what it was reputation in foreign countries (and perhaps Iraq is one of the countries that have enjoyed where that company exploratory projects value). The Venezuela, Brazil suffered from bad political situation, which does not seem related to new technologies and make them available to re - role of the two countries , they have an importance in shaping the oil - dependent global energy market policies (they are preparing a good industrial countries , especially Brazil , which has a global advanced centers in all areas Industry).
Perhaps one of the most important topics relevant to our subject is going through a slow China Slowdown in economic growth, and its relation to the nature of the production and consumption of energy at this very vital global country. There is no doubt that what ishappening in China is not connected with the economic cycles Economic Cycles, it is asign of structural change Structural Change in the nature of the economic system , which will push China to not to rely on export commodity enormous flooded by the world to focus on the domestic service sector, and stimulated front industrial sector took thechance after the Chinese approach is unprecedented in maintaining the socialist system blends edit your capital infrastructure great that he inherited from the totalitarian regime, became a good example can be done to silence the cries advocates of public sector filter in states that still retain the heritage of economic socialist, the destinies of thepeople and leave no worker capitalism wills dubbed some pal «savage» because of thecrisis created by the last two decades in particular, what reduced the luster that hasspread after the fall appalling east of the system after the disintegration of the former Soviet Union.
Finally, it appears the role of policy and clear ( and grossly this time) to Western sanctions that have been applied to Russia after the annexation of the Crimea , which used to belong to Ukraine claims the presence of Russian majority, and have suffered the Russian energy sector (especially the export of gas) a lot of the embargo, and there is a possibility for the nomination of the United States an alternative to supply Europe as a source gas during the production and export boom experienced by far.
the ban includes the freezing of Russia supplying the latest technology and equipment needed to update the drilling and completion of wells and examination methods .... etc.But Russia after the expansion of its policies in the adaptation of the other party has succeeded in coordination with China to export significant quantities of gas through apresumed duration of the tube, and is working to calm diplomatic follow flexible with peers and rivals many files Kalmlv Syria, and the latter coordinated with Saudi Arabia ,which is the largest in terms of inventory oil production in the Organization (OPEC) inpreparation for a meeting expected in Algeria on the sidelines of the World energy Forum International energy Forum , but a good illustration of this, no decisive indicators on achieved success in freezing production in order to return prices to equilibrium between supply and demand, after losing states producing hundreds of billions of dollars during the past two years after the dramatic decline of prices in June
2014. * (former adviser to the international energy agency)[/rtl]
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