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[size=36]A Hebrew report identifies the reasons for the development of Israeli activity in the heart of Iraq[/size]
Political | 09:09 - 27/08/2019
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BAGHDAD -
An analysis published by the Israeli National Security Research Center said that the Israeli escalation against Iran in Iraq and Syria is in line with the Israeli war against the Iranian position in Syria, but also comes in an attempt to cover up or compensate for reluctance in a direct confrontation with "Hezbollah" ".
The report, published by the Institute, following the Israeli raid on a site of the "Quds Force" in the Syrian village of Aqraba, evaded the acknowledgment of the acknowledgment of the Israeli strikes in Iraq, on the grounds that there is no official acknowledgment by Israel, or certain information.
However, the report cited leaks by US officials to the New York Times about the strikes, and repeated statements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about the attacks, particularly the repeated expression that "Iran has no immunity anywhere," to say that the operation The occupation claims that the "Quds Force" was intended to launch, last Thursday, and was thwarted in strikes last Saturday evening, apparently an Iranian attempt to respond to strikes carried out by Israel against sites in Iraq.
The report considered that "these developments, and Netanyahu's statements, indicate that Israel has apparently expanded the scope of the military confrontation against the positioning of Iran in Syria, from the fields of Syria and Lebanon to Iraq."
The report, written by Oort Farlov with the retired general and director of the center, Audi Dekel, tried to identify the reasons for this development in Israeli activity in the heart of Iraq, recalling that during the years of the Syrian crisis, Israel focused on hitting and thwarting the attempts of Iranian positioning in Syria itself, and by targeting weapons convoys prepared To Hezbollah.
The report re-shifted the Israeli position, and directed to strike Iran in the Iraqi deep, to reports from last year that pointed to Israeli attacks against arms convoys in the border between Syria and Iraq in Albukamal and Deir ez-Zor, but stopped the activity in that region, due to reservation leadership US forces in that border area between Syria and Iraq, fearing the consequences for US troops in Iraq. However, the authors of the report did not rule out that Israeli strikes on sites in Iraq were conducted in coordination with US forces.
But the report highlights that Israel, which insists its primary goal is to prevent an Iranian military presence and position in Syria, and close to its border with Syria and Lebanon, today refrains from confronting the spearhead of the Shiite Iranian axis, Hezbollah.
PCHR believes that Israel has chosen to expand the scope and scope of its strikes against the Iranian axis from Syria to Iraq in the light of its estimates, and its awareness of the high price Israel will pay if it targets the infrastructure of the Iranian missile arsenal available to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Consequently, Israel, in attempts to confuse and "mitigate potential damage to reluctance to hit existing targets in Lebanon," appears to have chosen to operate in a sector that it has estimated the price it will pay - especially if there is no conclusive evidence of its role and operations - in a way that is less "There is a great danger of a military escalation until a war against Hezbollah.
According to the report, distant operations deep in Iraq enable Israel to demonstrate its capabilities and courage, and to initiate operations that effectively demonstrate its superiority and the effectiveness of its "long arm."
This means that it is quite possible that Israel has decided to exploit in-kind operational opportunities, based on accurate intelligence and high operational capabilities, to allow it to conduct operations without leaving its mark, and to surprise Iran, its allies and the forces under its patronage in the region, in parallel with the disclosure of activities. Iranian forces within Arab countries and encourage forces in the Arab region to act against Tehran.
In a surprise visit to Iraq in May, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo briefed Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi on satellite imagery (apparently handed over to the United States by Israel) showing Iranian weapons warehouses and factories in Iraq, the report said. If these Iranian installations are not removed from Iraqi territory, they may be hit and targeted. As a result, the Iraqi prime minister's call for dismantling and disarming the Popular Mobilization Units and annexing them to the official Iraqi forces. The call, according to the report, received popular support, including from cleric Ali al-Sistani and the leader of the "Sadr movement" Muqtada al-Sadr.
Despite public outrage in Iraq over the government's position on the one hand, and the Israeli role in carrying out these operations, the report identifies a change in the general trend in Iraq after the attacks, to point fingers directly to Israel on the one hand, and calls to strengthen Iraqi defenses and the provision of systems "S400" ".
According to the authors, if Israel continues its operations in Iraq, it may increase the likelihood of harming US objectives and interests there, and this means that the continuation of such a policy may accelerate the process of withdrawing US troops from Iraq, due to internal pressure, whether such pressure from Iraq itself or US internal pressure. These are added to the declared intentions of US President Donald Trump to withdraw his troops from the Middle East as a whole. In the event of such a scenario, it would be important for the United States to require its exit from Iraq and the region to dismantle the Popular Mobilization, with military power confined to the Iraqi government. Such a move would be a precedent that could also be demanded in Lebanon against Hezbollah, in an effort to reduce Iranian influence in the Shiite Crescent and the region as a whole. For Israel, profit and loss calculations now reveal the potential benefits of expanding the scope and scope of Israeli operations against Iran along the East-to-Iraq axis, while threatening to threaten Iran itself. But when the US boat is brought into the equation, the price Israel could incur is far higher than the desired benefit, with US troops leaving Iraq and Syria and keeping Israel alone in the battle against Iranian positioning in the region, with Iranian persistence and Tehran's perseverance firmly on its feet and consecrating the "Shiite Crescent" "Amid an Iranian willingness to risk more.
Finally, the report concludes that Iran's attempt to launch drones against Israel represents the magnitude of Iran's determination, or at least reflects the fact that Tehran has reached a critical point for it to change its response to Israeli operations, or, in turn, to continue to build its arsenal of precision-hit missiles in Lebanon without any Disrupt this activity. However, once the building of combat capabilities has been completed, in addition to the availability of an operational opportunity and Israel's crossing of the border with Iran, the latter would respond completely differently from its responses so far.
An analysis published by the Israeli National Security Research Center said that the Israeli escalation against Iran in Iraq and Syria is in line with the Israeli war against the Iranian position in Syria, but also comes in an attempt to cover up or compensate for reluctance in a direct confrontation with "Hezbollah" ".
The report, published by the Institute, following the Israeli raid on a site of the "Quds Force" in the Syrian village of Aqraba, evaded the acknowledgment of the acknowledgment of the Israeli strikes in Iraq, on the grounds that there is no official acknowledgment by Israel, or certain information.
However, the report cited leaks by US officials to the New York Times about the strikes, and repeated statements by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about the attacks, particularly the repeated expression that "Iran has no immunity anywhere," to say that the operation The occupation claims that the "Quds Force" was intended to launch, last Thursday, and was thwarted in strikes last Saturday evening, apparently an Iranian attempt to respond to strikes carried out by Israel against sites in Iraq.
The report considered that "these developments, and Netanyahu's statements, indicate that Israel has apparently expanded the scope of the military confrontation against the positioning of Iran in Syria, from the fields of Syria and Lebanon to Iraq."
The report, written by Oort Farlov with the retired general and director of the center, Audi Dekel, tried to identify the reasons for this development in Israeli activity in the heart of Iraq, recalling that during the years of the Syrian crisis, Israel focused on hitting and thwarting the attempts of Iranian positioning in Syria itself, and by targeting weapons convoys prepared To Hezbollah.
The report re-shifted the Israeli position, and directed to strike Iran in the Iraqi deep, to reports from last year that pointed to Israeli attacks against arms convoys in the border between Syria and Iraq in Albukamal and Deir ez-Zor, but stopped the activity in that region, due to reservation leadership US forces in that border area between Syria and Iraq, fearing the consequences for US troops in Iraq. However, the authors of the report did not rule out that Israeli strikes on sites in Iraq were conducted in coordination with US forces.
But the report highlights that Israel, which insists its primary goal is to prevent an Iranian military presence and position in Syria, and close to its border with Syria and Lebanon, today refrains from confronting the spearhead of the Shiite Iranian axis, Hezbollah.
PCHR believes that Israel has chosen to expand the scope and scope of its strikes against the Iranian axis from Syria to Iraq in the light of its estimates, and its awareness of the high price Israel will pay if it targets the infrastructure of the Iranian missile arsenal available to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Consequently, Israel, in attempts to confuse and "mitigate potential damage to reluctance to hit existing targets in Lebanon," appears to have chosen to operate in a sector that it has estimated the price it will pay - especially if there is no conclusive evidence of its role and operations - in a way that is less "There is a great danger of a military escalation until a war against Hezbollah.
According to the report, distant operations deep in Iraq enable Israel to demonstrate its capabilities and courage, and to initiate operations that effectively demonstrate its superiority and the effectiveness of its "long arm."
This means that it is quite possible that Israel has decided to exploit in-kind operational opportunities, based on accurate intelligence and high operational capabilities, to allow it to conduct operations without leaving its mark, and to surprise Iran, its allies and the forces under its patronage in the region, in parallel with the disclosure of activities. Iranian forces within Arab countries and encourage forces in the Arab region to act against Tehran.
In a surprise visit to Iraq in May, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo briefed Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi on satellite imagery (apparently handed over to the United States by Israel) showing Iranian weapons warehouses and factories in Iraq, the report said. If these Iranian installations are not removed from Iraqi territory, they may be hit and targeted. As a result, the Iraqi prime minister's call for dismantling and disarming the Popular Mobilization Units and annexing them to the official Iraqi forces. The call, according to the report, received popular support, including from cleric Ali al-Sistani and the leader of the "Sadr movement" Muqtada al-Sadr.
Despite public outrage in Iraq over the government's position on the one hand, and the Israeli role in carrying out these operations, the report identifies a change in the general trend in Iraq after the attacks, to point fingers directly to Israel on the one hand, and calls to strengthen Iraqi defenses and the provision of systems "S400" ".
According to the authors, if Israel continues its operations in Iraq, it may increase the likelihood of harming US objectives and interests there, and this means that the continuation of such a policy may accelerate the process of withdrawing US troops from Iraq, due to internal pressure, whether such pressure from Iraq itself or US internal pressure. These are added to the declared intentions of US President Donald Trump to withdraw his troops from the Middle East as a whole. In the event of such a scenario, it would be important for the United States to require its exit from Iraq and the region to dismantle the Popular Mobilization, with military power confined to the Iraqi government. Such a move would be a precedent that could also be demanded in Lebanon against Hezbollah, in an effort to reduce Iranian influence in the Shiite Crescent and the region as a whole. For Israel, profit and loss calculations now reveal the potential benefits of expanding the scope and scope of Israeli operations against Iran along the East-to-Iraq axis, while threatening to threaten Iran itself. But when the US boat is brought into the equation, the price Israel could incur is far higher than the desired benefit, with US troops leaving Iraq and Syria and keeping Israel alone in the battle against Iranian positioning in the region, with Iranian persistence and Tehran's perseverance firmly on its feet and consecrating the "Shiite Crescent" "Amid an Iranian willingness to risk more.
Finally, the report concludes that Iran's attempt to launch drones against Israel represents the magnitude of Iran's determination, or at least reflects the fact that Tehran has reached a critical point for it to change its response to Israeli operations, or, in turn, to continue to build its arsenal of precision-hit missiles in Lebanon without any Disrupt this activity. However, once the building of combat capabilities has been completed, in addition to the availability of an operational opportunity and Israel's crossing of the border with Iran, the latter would respond completely differently from its responses so far.
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