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[size=36]To a new Iraq: Al-Kazemi's mandate ... an optimistic start on the path to mines[/size]
Political | 09:37 - 12/05/2020
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Baghdad - Mawazine News
New Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi inaugurated his mandate with a series of confidence-building steps. He has ordered the courts to release the detainees who appear before them on charges of participating in the demonstrations, and asked the prison authorities to release the prisoners who have ruled for such violations, and a spokesman for the Ministry of Justice explained that this step came because “that the demonstration is a right guaranteed in the Iraqi constitution, provided that the demonstrators do not violate institutions Country". Al-Kazemi also ordered the compensation of the families of about 550 civilians killed in the demonstrations that started on October 1, and pledged that those involved in the killing of the demonstrators would be investigated.
In parallel, the Prime Minister appointed General Abdel-Wahab Al-Saadi as head of the anti-terrorist agency, after he was dismissed by the former Prime Minister Adel Abdel-Mahdi. Al-Saadi was considered a "hero of Mosul" after he stood at the head of the forces that liberated the city from ISIS control, and the demonstrators chanted his name Those who demanded his return to his job after his dismissal.
Al-Kazemi, a former journalist and head of the intelligence agency during the outbreak of the demonstrations, stood by the demonstrators and opposed the repression by Shiite militiamen at the direction of Iran. And now, as prime minister, he promises them a democratic Iraq that gives them their rightful place in power. The new spirit blowing from the prime minister’s office is an optimistic start, and indicates the prospects of his success in managing the country, which has tried for five months to find for itself a prime minister after three failed.
Exceptional support
Exceptionally, Al-Kazemi's appointment is supported by Iran and the United States. Estimates have already spread to this agreement, among them the estimate that both countries mired in the Corona crisis and its huge economic repercussions, have exhausted their preoccupation with politics. Within a relatively short period of time, Al-Kazimi succeeded in obtaining the approval of the Iraqi parliament on 15 of the 22 ministers he proposed. 5 others are still awaiting ratification, while no candidates for the post of oil and foreign ministers have been offered so far - two important bags.
But Kadhimi's sweeping support, as well as his encouraging first steps, will be on the line soon when he will be asked to prove his leadership. In the beginning of June, he is expected to have a round of talks with representatives of the American administration, which will focus on the issue of the continued presence of American forces in Iraq after the parliament approved the demand for its withdrawal. The two parties will also discuss how the Iraqi forces operate against attacking American targets, renew political training for the Iraqi army after it was frozen in the wake of the Corona epidemic, and the civilian assistance Iraq requests from international financial institutions. Washington intends to present practical demands and will not be satisfied with declarations of condemnation, as senior figures in the American administration have made clear to the Prime Minister. "The United States is very disappointed by the performance of the government of Iraq in everything related to the defense of the coalition forces," said David Shankar, Assistant Secretary of State for Middle East Affairs.
Taking military steps against armed factions may put Al-Kazimi on a collision course with the parties that support it, and in front of Iran, which sees it as an executive arm to implement its policy in Iraq. Al-Kazemi, like his predecessors, will have to face a complex dilemma. Should he embrace the American demands and thereby guarantee the international financial assistance that he needs for the purposes of the current financing and to pay the deferred salaries that he pays for several months and fight Corona, or will he allow Iran to continue dictating its policy and thereby guarantee the vital bilateral trade with Iran, which was estimated before the epidemic at more than 12 billion dollars, It ensures the continued supply of electricity and water from Iran, as well as the political calm it needs from pro-Iranian parties.
Exploding puzzle
Al-Kazemi announced that he is looking to expand economic cooperation with Iran and will not allow Iraq to be turned into a platform for launching attacks against it, but he also does not look to turn Iraq into an arena of sensitivity between Iran and the United States, losing the only channel that can help him overcome the economic crisis. According to estimates by Iraqi economists, Iraq needs a financing injection of about $ 50 billion, while the Accreditation Company "Pitch" estimated in April that the budget deficit in 2020 could reach 30% of the gross domestic product, and the national debt would reach more than 80% who are they. Iran cannot put Iraq at the disposal of Iraq with the required size, and without international funding with an American green light, Al-Kazimi will find himself in front of a new mass protest, as in the previous protest, and may lead to the overthrow of the government.
This is not the only dilemma for the Iraqi prime minister. Despite the offensive speech, The United States, like Iran, prefers stability in Iraq and a government that is doing its work on chaos, which may lead them to confront and grow up new armed factions, and may even provide an opportunity for IS remnants to renew their activities. Iran, which has begun withdrawing part of its forces from Syria, and the United States, which seeks to reduce its presence in the Middle East, will have to coexist in Iraq in order to maintain even a portion of their influence there.
The explosive puzzle posed by Iran and Iraq is not separate from the political minefield that Al-Kazemi seeks to dismantle with a new election law and early elections. His goal will be to give adequate representation to women and youth who have demonstrated their strength in the demonstrations, and to dismantle political monopolies that stifle the state's treasury in particular. Drafting a new constitution would stop all those with sectarian and political interests on their hind legs, while retracting the initiative could take hundreds of thousands to the streets. And if this is not enough to fill Al-Kazemi’s agenda, there is what awaits him behind the corner .. His confrontation with the Kurdish region, which demands the application of the oil agreement in exchange for a budget signed with the Prime Minister, according to which the government of Iraq must transfer to the Kurdish region about 14% of the total state income in exchange for Part of the oil extracted from the Kurdish region. It will not be boring in Baghdad in the coming months.
In parallel, the Prime Minister appointed General Abdel-Wahab Al-Saadi as head of the anti-terrorist agency, after he was dismissed by the former Prime Minister Adel Abdel-Mahdi. Al-Saadi was considered a "hero of Mosul" after he stood at the head of the forces that liberated the city from ISIS control, and the demonstrators chanted his name Those who demanded his return to his job after his dismissal.
Al-Kazemi, a former journalist and head of the intelligence agency during the outbreak of the demonstrations, stood by the demonstrators and opposed the repression by Shiite militiamen at the direction of Iran. And now, as prime minister, he promises them a democratic Iraq that gives them their rightful place in power. The new spirit blowing from the prime minister’s office is an optimistic start, and indicates the prospects of his success in managing the country, which has tried for five months to find for itself a prime minister after three failed.
Exceptional support
Exceptionally, Al-Kazemi's appointment is supported by Iran and the United States. Estimates have already spread to this agreement, among them the estimate that both countries mired in the Corona crisis and its huge economic repercussions, have exhausted their preoccupation with politics. Within a relatively short period of time, Al-Kazimi succeeded in obtaining the approval of the Iraqi parliament on 15 of the 22 ministers he proposed. 5 others are still awaiting ratification, while no candidates for the post of oil and foreign ministers have been offered so far - two important bags.
But Kadhimi's sweeping support, as well as his encouraging first steps, will be on the line soon when he will be asked to prove his leadership. In the beginning of June, he is expected to have a round of talks with representatives of the American administration, which will focus on the issue of the continued presence of American forces in Iraq after the parliament approved the demand for its withdrawal. The two parties will also discuss how the Iraqi forces operate against attacking American targets, renew political training for the Iraqi army after it was frozen in the wake of the Corona epidemic, and the civilian assistance Iraq requests from international financial institutions. Washington intends to present practical demands and will not be satisfied with declarations of condemnation, as senior figures in the American administration have made clear to the Prime Minister. "The United States is very disappointed by the performance of the government of Iraq in everything related to the defense of the coalition forces," said David Shankar, Assistant Secretary of State for Middle East Affairs.
Taking military steps against armed factions may put Al-Kazimi on a collision course with the parties that support it, and in front of Iran, which sees it as an executive arm to implement its policy in Iraq. Al-Kazemi, like his predecessors, will have to face a complex dilemma. Should he embrace the American demands and thereby guarantee the international financial assistance that he needs for the purposes of the current financing and to pay the deferred salaries that he pays for several months and fight Corona, or will he allow Iran to continue dictating its policy and thereby guarantee the vital bilateral trade with Iran, which was estimated before the epidemic at more than 12 billion dollars, It ensures the continued supply of electricity and water from Iran, as well as the political calm it needs from pro-Iranian parties.
Exploding puzzle
Al-Kazemi announced that he is looking to expand economic cooperation with Iran and will not allow Iraq to be turned into a platform for launching attacks against it, but he also does not look to turn Iraq into an arena of sensitivity between Iran and the United States, losing the only channel that can help him overcome the economic crisis. According to estimates by Iraqi economists, Iraq needs a financing injection of about $ 50 billion, while the Accreditation Company "Pitch" estimated in April that the budget deficit in 2020 could reach 30% of the gross domestic product, and the national debt would reach more than 80% who are they. Iran cannot put Iraq at the disposal of Iraq with the required size, and without international funding with an American green light, Al-Kazimi will find himself in front of a new mass protest, as in the previous protest, and may lead to the overthrow of the government.
This is not the only dilemma for the Iraqi prime minister. Despite the offensive speech, The United States, like Iran, prefers stability in Iraq and a government that is doing its work on chaos, which may lead them to confront and grow up new armed factions, and may even provide an opportunity for IS remnants to renew their activities. Iran, which has begun withdrawing part of its forces from Syria, and the United States, which seeks to reduce its presence in the Middle East, will have to coexist in Iraq in order to maintain even a portion of their influence there.
The explosive puzzle posed by Iran and Iraq is not separate from the political minefield that Al-Kazemi seeks to dismantle with a new election law and early elections. His goal will be to give adequate representation to women and youth who have demonstrated their strength in the demonstrations, and to dismantle political monopolies that stifle the state's treasury in particular. Drafting a new constitution would stop all those with sectarian and political interests on their hind legs, while retracting the initiative could take hundreds of thousands to the streets. And if this is not enough to fill Al-Kazemi’s agenda, there is what awaits him behind the corner .. His confrontation with the Kurdish region, which demands the application of the oil agreement in exchange for a budget signed with the Prime Minister, according to which the government of Iraq must transfer to the Kurdish region about 14% of the total state income in exchange for Part of the oil extracted from the Kurdish region. It will not be boring in Baghdad in the coming months.
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